De klimaathoax heeft de EU en speciaal Duitsland in een precaire positie gebracht als Rusland iets ‘onwenselijks’ doet in Oekraïne.

Dat Duitsland als gevolg van de Oekraïne-politiek bij Nederland om westers gas komt zeuren, is er een direct gevolg van. Eerder kwam Duitsland er al niet onderuit te erkennen dat zonder het verbranden van gas de gedroomde energietransitie niet zal werken:

Germany will need natural gas throughout the energy transition to renewable sources, the new German government said this week.

“We will need gas throughout the transitional phase,” government spokesman Steffen Hebestreit said.

The government’s plans are to use natural gas as a bridge fuel and gradually wean itself off it by 2045.
Germany has a very strong Green lobby that has now become part of the ruling coalition. Despite an anti-fossil fuel discourse, the Greens have now apparently accepted the necessity of at least one fossil fuel, perhaps not least because Germany has plans to shut down all of its nuclear power plants by the end of this year.

De Duitse plannen om te vertrouwen op renewables als windenergie hebben afgelopen jaren bewezen te falen

Dat ving men op met kolen, biomassa, gas en andere politiek ongewenste energiebronnen:

Maar als het niet waait, waait het niet. Dat geeft vervelende vooruitzichten:

But, notes Bloomberg, the relief provided by American liquified natural gas (LNG) is “temporary at best…. Storage sites [for natural gas] are only 56% full, more than 15 percentage points below the 10-year average… Barring an increase in Russian exports, something that doesn’t appear to be in the cards, levels will be at less than 15% by the end of March, the lowest on record… With the two coldest months of winter still ahead, the fear is that Europe may run out of gas.”

Voor zonne-energie geldt hetzelfde:

And the lack of nuclear energy underscores the need for more nuclear plants since they are reliable and operate independently of the weather when they are managed well. No matter how well a solar farm is managed, it can’t change the weather.

En dit is het punt waar de politieke kwestie Oekraïne om de hoek komt:

And now, Russia is massing troops on its border with Ukraine, and may invade. This is a problem since one-third of Russian gas going into Europe goes through Ukraine. If war breaks out, Europe could suffer serious gas shortages. Overdependence on natural gas and renewables, and underinvestment in nuclear, has thus undermined the energy security, and thus national security, of Europe, since heads of state dependent on Russian gas will be less likely to speak out against an invasion.
Even longtime natural gas and renewable energy boosters agree there’s a crisis. “The ability of Europe and the U.S. to respond to a Russian invasion is constrained both by a desire not to exacerbate Europe’s energy crisis by sanctioning Russian energy exports and, more broadly, by the threat that Russia could retaliate to any confrontation by restricting gas flows into Europe, as Russia did in 2006 and 2009,” Jason Bordoff, a former Obama administration official, told Bloomberg.

Dat leidt tot politieke impotentie:

Covid accelerated many trends and one of them is the recognition that unreliable and weather-dependent renewables cannot power modern economies. Senator Joe Manchin specifically mentioned the role that renewables are playing in making America’s electricity less reliable when he killed Build Back Better legislation in December. The Netherlands mentioned the need for reliable electricity when it announced plans to expand nuclear energy.
Now, with New England at grave risk of energy shortages for the exact same reasons as Europe, it’s time for the American people and their representatives to fully wake up to the reality that modern societies cannot rely on unreliable renewables. It would also help if the renewable energy industry, and its dogmatic supporters, including Facebook’s Mark Zuckerberg, Rep. Sean Casten, and Rep. Jared Huffman, would stop trying to censor and otherwise shut down the people who raised the alarm about the coming crisis in the first place.

Een ongelukkige samenloop van omstandigheden?
Nou, nee. Het garanderen van de energievoorziening heeft nooit op het menu van Brussel gestaan. Daar gaan we nu de prijs voor betalen.

The article, like many other Bloomberg articles, mislabels the deployment of renewables as an “energy transition” similar to past transitions from wood to coal and coal to natural gas, failing to acknowledge that the poor physics of energy-dilute renewables make that impossible. And it suggests that Europe’s energy crisis is the result of ignorance. “The energy crisis hit the bloc,” notes a renewable energy PR person, “when security of supply was not on the menu of EU policymakers,”

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